アウトレット最激安 COACH コーチ 2WAY レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ バッグ ハンドバッグ

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Back in December 2013 we pointed out something that virtually nobody had noted or discussed: when it comes to "credit" creation, China's $15 trillion in freshly-created bank loans since the financial crisis - ostensibly the global credit buffer that allowed China to not get dragged down by the western recession - dwarfed the credit contribution by DM central banks.

当時の状況を簡単に概観すると:

In order to offset the lack of loan creation by commercial banks, the "Big 4" central banks - Fed, ECB, BOJ and BOE - have had no choice but the open the liquidity spigots to the max. This has resulted in a total developed world "Big 4" central bank balance of just under $10 trillion, of which the bulk of asset additions has taken place since the Lehman collapse.
 
How does this compare to what China has done? As can be seen on the chart below, in just the past 5 years alone, Chinese bank assets (and by implication liabilities) have grown by an astounding $15 trillion, bringing the total to over $24 trillion, as we showed yesterday. In other words, China has expanded its financial balance sheet by 50% more than the assets of all global central banks combined!
 
And that is how - in a global centrally-planned regime which is where everyone now is, DM or EM - your flood your economy with liquidity. Perhaps the Fed, ECB or BOJ should hire some PBOC consultants to show them how it's really done.


This dramatic divergence in credit creation continued for about a year, then gradually Chinese new loans topped out primarily due to regulation slamming shut 【Money Clip type2】本革 マネークリップ and since credit accumulation resulted in parallel build up in central bank reserves, the current period of debt creation going into reverse has led to not only China's currency devaluation but what we first warned was Reverse QE, and has since picked up the more conventional moniker "Quantitative Tightening."
But while China's credit topping process was inevitable, a far more sinister development has emerged: as we メルちゃん本体カスタム, while DM central banks - excluding the Fed for the time being - have continued to pump liquidity at full blast into the global, fungibly-connected, financial system, there has been virtually no impact on risk assets...




... especially in the US where the S&P is now down not only relative to the end of QE3, but is down 5% Y/Y - the biggest annual drop since 2008.
This cross-flow dynamic is precisely what David Tepper was PRADA プラダ レザー トートバッグ レディース ブランドwhen the famous hedge fund manager declared the "Tepper Top" and went quite bearish on the stock market.
This dynamic is also the topic of a must-read report by Citi's Matt King titled quite simply: "Has the world reached its credit limit?" and which seeks to answer a just as important question: "Why EM weakness is having such a large impact", a question which we hinted at 2 years ago, and which is now the dominant topic within the financial community, one which may explain why development market central bank liquidity "has suddenly stopped working."
King's explanation starts by showing, in practical terms, where the world currently stands in terms of the only two metrics that matter in a Keynesian universe: real growth, and credit creation.

・・・特に米国ではS&P500はいまやQE3終了時よりも下落しており、年率5%下落となっている、この年率下落は2008年以来のものだ。

Kingはこう解説する、ケインズ学派のもとでは世界経済は二つの指標で成り立っている:実成長と信用創造(債務)。


His summary: there has been plenty of credit, just not much growth.
So the next logical question is where has this credit been created. Our readers will know the answer: the marginal credit creator ever since the financial crisis were not the DM central banks - they were merely trying to offset private sector deleveraging and defaults; all the credit growth came from Emerging Markets in general, and China in particular.

彼の要点:債務は増えるが成長はわずか。

答えははっきりとNO、Kingは更に解説する。



ゆうこ様専用
Alternatively, it should come as no surprise that credit creation in EMs is the opposite: here money creation took place in the conventional loan-deposit bank-intermediated pathway, with a side effect being the accumulation of foreign reserves boosting the monetary base. Most importantly, new money created in EMs, i.e., China led to new investment, even if that investment ultimately was massively mis-allocted toward ghost cities and unprecedented commodity accumulation. It also led to what many realize is the world's most dangerous credit bubble as it is held almost entirely on corporate balance sheets where non-performing loans are growing at an exponential pace.



アルカディアスモモキング b 4枚
* * *
The above lays out the market dynamic that took place largely uninterrupted from 2008 until the end of 2014.
And then something changed dramatically.
That something is what we said started taking place last November when we pointed out the "death of the petrodollar", when as a result of the collapse in oil prices oil exporters started doing something they have never done before: they dipped into their FX reserves and started selling. This reserve liquidation first among the oil exporting emerging market, is essentially what has since morphed into a full blown capital flight from the entire EM space, and has also resulted in China's own devaluation-driven reserve (i.e., Treasury) liquidation, which this website also noted first back in May.
As King simply summarizes this most important kink in the story, after years of reserve accumulation, EMs have now shifted to reserve contraction which, in the simplest possible terms means, "money is being destroyed" which in turn is the source of the huge inflationary wave slowly but surely sweeping over the entire - both EM and DM - world.

 
リカちゃん 初代リカちゃん
 
But while one can debate what the impact on money destruction would be on equities and treasurys, a far clearer picture emerges when evaluting the impact on the underlying economy. As King, correctly, summarizes without the capex boost from energy (which won't come as long as oil continues its downward trajectory), and DM investment continues to decline, there is an unprecedented build up in inventory, which in turn is pressuring both capacity utilization, the employment rate, and soon, GDP once the inevitable inventory liquidation takes place.




The take home is highlighted in the chart above, but just in case it is missed on anyone here it is again: the "fundamentals point overwhelmingly downwards."



サーナイトEX ポケモンカード 1枚
Furthermore, while we have listed the numerous direct interventions by central banks over the past 7 years, the reality is that an even more powerful central bank weapon has been central bank "signalling", i.e., speaking, threatening and cajoling. As Citi summarizes "The power of CBs’ actions has stemmed more from the signalling than from the portfolio balance effect."

で結論はどうかというと。


【美品】マックスマーラ 2way トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ レザー 黒

最新記事
Q3に自社株買いが$200Bを超えた、過去最高

2way レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ | ブランド古着の買取 Amazon | [コーチ] COACH バッグ レディース トートバッグ ショルダー COACH コーチ 2way レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ COACH コーチ トートバッグ F72357 FOLDOVER PRINT PVC フォルド オーバー トート PVCコーティングキャンバス バイカラー 迷彩・カモフラージュ柄 2WAY ショルダーバッグ COACH【コーチ】F26186 2WAYバッグ レザー ブラウン系×ベージュ系 レディース トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ ブランド A4  USED-A【8】k2002452 質屋 かんてい局春日井店 在庫あり】 COACH コーチ 2way PVCレザー トートバッグ ショルダー COACH コーチ 2way レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ 【バッグ】COACH コーチ レザー ハンドバッグ 2WAYバッグ ショルダーバッグ トートバッグ レザー メタリックカーキ F15513 【k】 コーチ COACH ショルダーバッグ トートバッグ 2way レザー ロゴ べージュ /SR4 レディース コーチ 2wayレザートートバッグ ショルダーバッグ 肩掛け メンズ COACH コーチ COACH トートバッグ レディース レザー 2way ショルダーバッグ COACH コーチ 2way レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ COACH コーチ ショルダーバッグ 2way トートバッグ レザー Amazon | [コーチ] バッグ レディース トートバッグ アウトレット 2way ○ コーチ 2WAYバッグ ミニクロスビー キャリーオール レザー 革 COACH コーチ 2way レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ トートバッグ-コーチ COACH トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ 2way COACH コーチ 2way 斜め掛け ベージュ エナメル / レザー B1273-F17953 ハンドバッグ トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ 【中古】 レディース 302559 | BRAND SAMURAI 美品 COACH コーチ ビジネスバッグ 2wayレザートートバッグ コーチ COACH トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ ペイトン サフィアーノ ヤフオク! - COACH コーチ トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ 2W 極 同様 COACH コーチ トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ バッグ レザー 美品 COACH コーチ ビジネスバッグ 2wayレザートートバッグ COACH コーチ レザー 2WAY ショルダー トート バッグ ブラウン系【中古】 コーチ COACH トートバッグ レディース レザー 2way ショルダーバッグ 各色 5692 楽天市場】COACH コーチ デンプシートート22 C8417 ベージュ ホワイト コーチ(COACH) 2wayバッグ トートバッグ(メンズ)の通販 45点 | コーチ COACH コーチ トートバッグ F38250 Harley East/west Hobo In Pebble Leather ハーレー EW ホーボー 牛革 三日月型 2WAY ショルダーバッグ シボ革 シュリンクレザーお値打ち COACH コーチ 2WAY レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ ハンドバッグ コーチ 2WAYレザートート ショルダーバッグ メンズ | フリマアプリ ラクマ コーチ 2way トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ レザー 黒 ブラック コーチ(COACH) 2way トートバッグ | 通販・人気ランキング - 価格.com 特価商品 ショルダー ビジネスバッグ 2way コーチ COACH トートバッグ コーチ 2wayレザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ コーチ 2wayレザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ | フリマアプリ ラクマ 限定販売】 値下げ◇コーチCOACH 2wayレザートートバッグ 黒

アウトレット最激安 COACH コーチ 2WAY レザー トートバッグ ショルダーバッグ バッグ ハンドバッグ