純正お買い得 オーダー見本 大型犬 ワンピース ペット用品 犬用品

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Back in December 2013 we pointed out something that virtually nobody had noted or discussed: when it comes to "credit" creation, China's $15 trillion in freshly-created bank loans since the financial crisis - ostensibly the global credit buffer that allowed China to not get dragged down by the western recession - dwarfed the credit contribution by DM central banks.

当時の状況を簡単に概観すると:

In order to offset the lack of loan creation by commercial banks, the "Big 4" central banks - Fed, ECB, BOJ and BOE - have had no choice but the open the liquidity spigots to the max. This has resulted in a total developed world "Big 4" central bank balance of just under $10 trillion, of which the bulk of asset additions has taken place since the Lehman collapse.
 
How does this compare to what China has done? As can be seen on the chart below, in just the past 5 years alone, Chinese bank assets (and by implication liabilities) have grown by an astounding $15 trillion, bringing the total to over $24 trillion, as we showed yesterday. In other words, China has expanded its financial balance sheet by 50% more than the assets of all global central banks combined!
 
And that is how - in a global centrally-planned regime which is where everyone now is, DM or EM - your flood your economy with liquidity. Perhaps the Fed, ECB or BOJ should hire some PBOC consultants to show them how it's really done.


This dramatic divergence in credit creation continued for about a year, then gradually Chinese new loans topped out primarily due to regulation slamming shut ダイヤモンド H&C 5ピース ルース 計0.19ct 2.1mm and since credit accumulation resulted in parallel build up in central bank reserves, the current period of debt creation going into reverse has led to not only China's currency devaluation but what we first warned was Reverse QE, and has since picked up the more conventional moniker "Quantitative Tightening."
But while China's credit topping process was inevitable, a far more sinister development has emerged: as we ねこばこ, while DM central banks - excluding the Fed for the time being - have continued to pump liquidity at full blast into the global, fungibly-connected, financial system, there has been virtually no impact on risk assets...




... especially in the US where the S&P is now down not only relative to the end of QE3, but is down 5% Y/Y - the biggest annual drop since 2008.
This cross-flow dynamic is precisely what David Tepper was ハンドメイド レトロブランケット・:*+.when the famous hedge fund manager declared the "Tepper Top" and went quite bearish on the stock market.
This dynamic is also the topic of a must-read report by Citi's Matt King titled quite simply: "Has the world reached its credit limit?" and which seeks to answer a just as important question: "Why EM weakness is having such a large impact", a question which we hinted at 2 years ago, and which is now the dominant topic within the financial community, one which may explain why development market central bank liquidity "has suddenly stopped working."
King's explanation starts by showing, in practical terms, where the world currently stands in terms of the only two metrics that matter in a Keynesian universe: real growth, and credit creation.

・・・特に米国ではS&P500はいまやQE3終了時よりも下落しており、年率5%下落となっている、この年率下落は2008年以来のものだ。

Kingはこう解説する、ケインズ学派のもとでは世界経済は二つの指標で成り立っている:実成長と信用創造(債務)。


His summary: there has been plenty of credit, just not much growth.
So the next logical question is where has this credit been created. Our readers will know the answer: the marginal credit creator ever since the financial crisis were not the DM central banks - they were merely trying to offset private sector deleveraging and defaults; all the credit growth came from Emerging Markets in general, and China in particular.

彼の要点:債務は増えるが成長はわずか。

答えははっきりとNO、Kingは更に解説する。



ホワイトオ二キス
Alternatively, it should come as no surprise that credit creation in EMs is the opposite: here money creation took place in the conventional loan-deposit bank-intermediated pathway, with a side effect being the accumulation of foreign reserves boosting the monetary base. Most importantly, new money created in EMs, i.e., China led to new investment, even if that investment ultimately was massively mis-allocted toward ghost cities and unprecedented commodity accumulation. It also led to what many realize is the world's most dangerous credit bubble as it is held almost entirely on corporate balance sheets where non-performing loans are growing at an exponential pace.



ドライフラワー グレビレアゴールド❣️
* * *
The above lays out the market dynamic that took place largely uninterrupted from 2008 until the end of 2014.
And then something changed dramatically.
That something is what we said started taking place last November when we pointed out the "death of the petrodollar", when as a result of the collapse in oil prices oil exporters started doing something they have never done before: they dipped into their FX reserves and started selling. This reserve liquidation first among the oil exporting emerging market, is essentially what has since morphed into a full blown capital flight from the entire EM space, and has also resulted in China's own devaluation-driven reserve (i.e., Treasury) liquidation, which this website also noted first back in May.
As King simply summarizes this most important kink in the story, after years of reserve accumulation, EMs have now shifted to reserve contraction which, in the simplest possible terms means, "money is being destroyed" which in turn is the source of the huge inflationary wave slowly but surely sweeping over the entire - both EM and DM - world.

 
ゴールド席札お客様専用画面
 
But while one can debate what the impact on money destruction would be on equities and treasurys, a far clearer picture emerges when evaluting the impact on the underlying economy. As King, correctly, summarizes without the capex boost from energy (which won't come as long as oil continues its downward trajectory), and DM investment continues to decline, there is an unprecedented build up in inventory, which in turn is pressuring both capacity utilization, the employment rate, and soon, GDP once the inevitable inventory liquidation takes place.




The take home is highlighted in the chart above, but just in case it is missed on anyone here it is again: the "fundamentals point overwhelmingly downwards."



ハンドメイド ドール服 ソランちゃん 対応サイズ 服
Furthermore, while we have listed the numerous direct interventions by central banks over the past 7 years, the reality is that an even more powerful central bank weapon has been central bank "signalling", i.e., speaking, threatening and cajoling. As Citi summarizes "The power of CBs’ actions has stemmed more from the signalling than from the portfolio balance effect."

で結論はどうかというと。


【世界に一つのハンドメイド】古布 襤褸 のぼり柿渋染 ハギレ 紋刺し子ワンピース

最新記事
Q3に自社株買いが$200Bを超えた、過去最高

オーダー商品】Pettrip 秋冬新作/ドッグウェア/ ペット洋服(小型犬 犬猫服オーダー スパンコールのショートドレス | 犬服・猫ペット服 イエロー系全商品オープニング価格! 犬服デザインワンピースオーダー カラーオーダー犬服 犬の服 大型犬 オーダーメイド ハンドメイドウェア お散歩していると ワンちゃん可愛いー と注目されそう☆プレゼント イエロー系全商品オープニング価格! 犬服デザインワンピースオーダー 即納&大特価】 犬服ワンピース見本 犬用品 ペット用品¥53,888 名前入れ トートバッグ 「正面」 柄ドッグシルエット Sサイズ CAB1543 受注製作>肘あてわんこ服® 大型犬用(☆オーダーメイド☆) ペット服 お散歩していると ワンちゃん可愛いー と注目されそう☆プレゼント 40%割引ブルー系全品送料0円 犬服 アメリカン シューズ柄ワンピース 犬服 チュールワンピース型紙 大型犬用 オーダー商品】Pettrip 秋冬新作/ドッグウェア/ ペット洋服(小型犬 大型 犬 服 - ホビーの人気商品・通販・価格比較 - 価格.com オーダー商品】Pettrip 秋冬新作/ドッグウェア/ ペット洋服(小型犬 犬服 ティアードワンピース型紙 大型犬用 犬服なら横浜元町gradog|犬の洋服・ドッグウェアと首輪の専門店 犬猫服オーダー 大きなバラ柄のドレス お散歩していると ワンちゃん可愛いー と注目されそう☆プレゼント 大型犬もOK セミオーダー 大人の雰囲気 黒のドレス | おむのおうち powered by BASE 期間限定特別価格 犬服 キャミソール オーダー見本 - 犬用品 激安店舗 犬用品 ペット用品-laeknavaktin.is 見本 リメイク オーダー 犬服 ペットウェア ドッグウェア 犬 服 猫 キッズ服 子供服 生地持ち込み トレーナー オシャレ 可愛い オソロコーデ お揃い ワンピース春 タンクトップ Tシャツ フリル 洋服の型紙屋さんフルール 注目 犬服 デザインワンピース 見本 犬用品 ペット用品¥52,333 受注製作>肘あてわんこ服® 大型犬用(☆オーダーメイド☆) ペット服 犬猫服オーダードレス フリフリパープルドレス | 犬服・猫ペット服 大型 犬 ドレスの人気商品・通販・価格比較 - 価格.com同時購入特典付き オーダー見本 大型犬 ワンピース 犬用品 大型犬もOK セミオーダー 大人の雰囲気 黒のドレス | おむのおうち powered by BASE 犬服 パーカー型紙 大型犬用 受注製作>肘あてわんこ服® 大型犬用(☆オーダーメイド☆) ペット服 商用OK! かわいい犬のお洋服 イエロー系全商品オープニング価格! 犬服デザインワンピースオーダー 大型犬もOK セミオーダー 大人の雰囲気 黒のドレス | おむのおうち powered by BASE 洋服の型紙屋さんフルール

純正お買い得 オーダー見本 大型犬 ワンピース ペット用品 犬用品